The Reasons Middle Eastern Money Has Not Turned Newcastle into Title Challengers
The Newcastle manager is not given to dramatics or grand media statements. Based on his usual demeanor, his press conference after Sunday’s loss to West Ham qualifies as a furious outburst. His side scored first but West Ham were ahead by the interval, as well as striking the woodwork and seeing a spot-kick overturned by VAR, leading Howe to execute a three substitutions at the half-time.
“That was the frustrating thing about the first half,” Howe said. “Virtually any player could have been substituted and I think this indicated of where we were in that moment in the game and it's extremely uncommon for me to have that impression. Actually, I cannot recall I have since I’ve been manager of the club, therefore I believed the team required some shaking up at half-time. This explains why I made what I did.”
Anthony Gordon, Nick Woltemade and Emil Krafth were substituted at half-time and Newcastle did stabilise somewhat in the latter period, but never appearing like they could fight back into the game against a side that had secured just a single victory of their previous nine league matches. Considering how packed the centre of the table is, with just three points separating the top spots from mid-table, and a nine-point margin between the upper and lower ranks, a run of twelve points from ten matches has not placed Newcastle stranded but, equally, they must not end the campaign in thirteenth place.
The Problem of Perception
The challenge to an extent is one of public view. With the Saudi PIF, the club possess the richest backers in the world. The assumption at the time the Saudi fund acquired 80% of the club in 2021 was that it would have a transformative effect, similar to Roman Abramovich had at Chelsea or Sheikh Mansour had at Manchester City. The distinction is that those two investors assumed control before the introduction of financial fair play regulations (while the ongoing allegations against Manchester City concern whether they breached those regulations after they were implemented).
Profit and sustainability regulations restrict the capacity of proprietors, no matter how wealthy, to invest funds on their teams and therefore probably would have slowed any Saudi attempt to elevate the team to the standard of Manchester City. However it wasn't necessary for Newcastle’s expenditure to have been so restrained as it has been; they might have invested further and remained within the threshold – or just accepted a relatively meagre Uefa fine given their big problem is primarily with the European than the Premier League rules.
Stadium Spending and PSR Rules
Additionally, stadium development is excluded from PSR calculations; the simplest method to increase revenue to generate more PSR flexibility would be to expand or renovate the arena. Given the site of the home ground, with listed buildings on multiple sides, practically that likely implies building an completely new venue. Rumors circulated in spring of possibly undertaking the short move to Leazes Park – resistance from community organizations might have been overcome with a commitment to build a new park on the existing ground location – but there has been no movement on that proposal. There has occurred significant cutbacks from the PIF on a variety of initiatives as it shifts focus on local investments; the attitude to Newcastle appears entirely in keeping with that strategic shift.
The Alexander Isak Saga
The star striker episode was born of that conflict. A bolder leadership could have framed his sale as essential to free up capital for additional investment; instead there was a unsuccessful attempt to retain him. That meant Newcastle started the campaign amidst a sense of disappointment despite the acquisitions of several new players. The start was mixed: a single victory in their initial six fixtures.
But it seemed a corner had been turned. They had won five victories in six matches before Sunday, a run that included demolitions of a Belgian side and Benfica in the Champions League. This explains the performance against the Hammers was such a shock. The problem perhaps is that the team's style is very aggressive, very high-octane; a minor decrease in intensity can have profound effects. Maybe the pressure of Premier League, European and cup competition, five fixtures in a fortnight, had taken its toll. Woltemade started all five matches and appeared especially fatigued.
Reality of Contemporary Soccer
That’s the nature of modern the sport. Coaches have to be prepared to make changes. The manager has been unlucky that Wissa’s injury has meant he is lacking forward choices but, regardless of how reasonable the reasons, the weekend's showing was inexcusable –particularly after scoring first at a ground primed to criticize its own side.
Howe will hope it was merely a temporary setback, one of those days when all players is below par simultaneously, but if Newcastle are to secure the European competition next season, let alone eventually mount an genuine title challenge, they cannot be as inconsistent as they have been.